Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 83.547025 93.416183 103.462814 114.424432 126.017367 137.884737 150.922844
2025-09-21 67.395450 81.574797 96.619156 113.643746 132.254413 151.872174 174.008226
2025-09-28 56.301485 72.631571 90.526698 111.332239 134.614912 159.651394 188.400908
2025-10-05 51.615239 70.057339 90.781720 115.369181 143.354419 173.872655 209.341153
2025-10-12 47.026652 67.011405 90.005592 117.791571 149.894556 185.330124 226.936288
2025-10-19 41.541168 62.369634 86.936952 117.184406 152.654918 192.272008 239.244611
2025-10-26 36.826017 58.248485 84.136561 116.578949 155.149028 198.690174 250.766834
2025-11-02 33.329898 55.359173 82.580225 117.235223 158.931562 206.434188 263.668533
2025-11-09 29.545543 51.784085 79.931288 116.361316 160.733422 211.752186 273.674740
2025-11-16 26.629190 49.129285 78.253336 116.515948 163.630091 218.240054 284.942411
2025-11-23 23.514194 45.945723 75.702808 115.424152 164.892396 222.707693 293.780939
2025-11-30 21.676787 44.425653 75.212906 116.830491 169.119314 230.620554 306.595439
2025-12-07 20.071617 43.152714 75.010048 118.598571 173.822203 239.162257 320.246099
2025-12-14 17.695233 40.522573 72.839333 117.733585 175.199644 243.687067 329.143516
2025-12-21 15.088488 37.280340 69.644688 115.385907 174.608578 245.751231 335.049383
2025-12-28 14.682359 37.557517 71.364064 119.503267 182.136698 257.630171 352.626762
2026-01-04 13.830675 37.016607 71.871254 121.974678 187.563468 266.949450 367.152756
2026-01-11 12.197394 34.987471 70.132074 121.355293 189.002773 271.368918 375.789225
2026-01-18 10.716962 33.069802 68.452906 120.737678 190.384165 275.673615 384.254618
2026-01-25 9.679732 31.854447 67.751239 121.407136 193.387481 281.948631 395.077744
2026-02-01 8.383734 29.991557 65.972631 120.515665 194.313149 285.619157 402.724759
2026-02-08 7.429174 28.686975 64.983005 120.673408 196.570309 290.915624 412.325914
2026-02-15 6.319149 26.899663 63.141498 119.559601 197.105795 294.030235 419.245065